A Simulation-Based Approach for the Behavioural Analysis of Cancer Pathways

Agastya Silvina, Guilherme Redeker, Thais Webber, Juliana Bowles*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Published conference outputConference publication


Cancer pathway is the name given to a patient’s journey from initial suspicion of cancer through to a confirmed diagnosis and, if applicable, the definition of a treatment plan. Typically, a cancer patient will undergo a series of procedures, which we designate as events, during their cancer care. The initial stage of the pathway, from suspected diagnosis to confirmed diagnosis and start of a treatment is called cancer waiting time (CWT). This paper focuses on the modelling and analysis of the CWT. Health boards are under pressure to ensure that the duration of CWT satisfies predefined targets. In this paper, we first create the visual representation of the pathway obtained from real patient data at a given health board, and then compare it with the standardised pathway considered by the board to find and flag a deviation in the execution of the cancer pathway. Next, we devise a discrete event simulation model for the cancer waiting time pathway. The input data is obtained from historical records of patients. The outcomes from this analysis highlight the pathway bottlenecks and transition times which may be used to reveal potential improvements for CWT in the future.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationFrom Data to Models and Back - 9th International Symposium, DataMod 2020, Revised Selected Papers
EditorsJuliana Bowles, Giovanna Broccia, Mirco Nanni
Number of pages15
ISBN (Print)9783030706494
Publication statusPublished - 5 Mar 2021
Event9th International Symposium on From Data Models and Back, DataMod 2020 - Virtual, Online
Duration: 20 Oct 202020 Oct 2020

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Volume12611 LNCS
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349


Conference9th International Symposium on From Data Models and Back, DataMod 2020
CityVirtual, Online

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2021, Springer Nature Switzerland AG.


  • Cancer pathway
  • Cancer waiting time
  • Discrete event simulation
  • Process modelling


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