Financial estimates against investors’ preferences: anchoring, denial and spillover effects

Ozlem Arikan

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


This experimental study investigates how the characteristics of an estimate in a sensitivity disclosure and the level of threat it presents to investors' preferences interact to influence investors’ risk judgments. Firstly, I predict and find that variation in an estimate affects not only investors’ judgment on a related issue but also their future judgments on an unrelated issue. Secondly, I predict and find that investors are more sensitive to variations in an estimate when information contained in the estimate presents less threat to their preferred conclusions than when it presents greater threat. Finally, I predict and find that investors perceive more uncertainty regarding the association between the disclosed risk factor and the estimated financial reporting item in the estimate when the information presents greater threat.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)299-320
JournalAccounting and Business Research
Issue number3
Early online date23 Oct 2017
Publication statusPublished - 2018

Bibliographical note

© 2017 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License
(, which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium,
provided the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way.


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