TY - JOUR
T1 - Is there life in the old dogs yet? Making break-tests work on financial contagion
AU - Gębka, Bartosz
AU - Karoglou, Michail
PY - 2013/4
Y1 - 2013/4
N2 - Many tests of financial contagion require a definition of the dates separating calm from crisis periods. We propose to use a battery of break search procedures for individual time series to objectively identify potential break dates in relationships between countries. Applied to the biggest European stock markets and combined with two well established tests for financial contagion, this approach results in break dates which correctly identify the timing of changes in cross-country transmission mechanisms. Application of break search procedures breathes new life into the established contagion tests, allowing for an objective, data-driven timing of crisis periods.
AB - Many tests of financial contagion require a definition of the dates separating calm from crisis periods. We propose to use a battery of break search procedures for individual time series to objectively identify potential break dates in relationships between countries. Applied to the biggest European stock markets and combined with two well established tests for financial contagion, this approach results in break dates which correctly identify the timing of changes in cross-country transmission mechanisms. Application of break search procedures breathes new life into the established contagion tests, allowing for an objective, data-driven timing of crisis periods.
KW - breaks in time series
KW - financial contagion
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84874936062&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.springerlink.com/content/9vnn24l482j80313/
U2 - 10.1007/s11156-012-0278-z
DO - 10.1007/s11156-012-0278-z
M3 - Article
SN - 0924-865X
VL - 40
SP - 485
EP - 507
JO - Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting
JF - Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting
IS - 3
ER -